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Could Huge Radiation Cloud Hit Americas West Coast by 2017?
It’s almost like a bad Sci-Fi movie, but the radioactive cloud released during the Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011 could stay intact, travel across the ocean, and drop on the West Coast of the United States sometime in late 2017, according to a modeling system employed by the European Union.
Back in March of 2011, an unbelievably powerful earthquake, and then the resulting tsunami, struck Japan. It knocked out power and the important cooling capabilities of the Fukushima nuclear power plant. In three days’ time there were numerous meltdown and explosions inside the reactor itself. It was reported on March 25th that huge amounts of radioactive material were seen leaking directly out into the Pacific Ocean with no means of containment.
Using computer generated models, the Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center in Norway studied the movement, and possible dispersion, of this radioactive cloud in 2013. The results of this study were cited in official government documents in China, but they have not been widely distributed or publicized.
Scientists used two different scenarios in models to show the leakage of radioactivity from this nuclear plant into the ocean. One scenario went under the assumption that there was continuous and constant leakage for a period of 20 days. The second scenario assumed that there was the same type of constant leakage for a period of one year.
Although, obviously, these two scenarios offered vastly different estimates of total radiation, both models reached the same conclusion; that this radioactive cloud would remain a unified mass, that it would not break up over the ocean, and that it is going to collide against the West Coast of North America. Estimates from both of these models suggest that this cloud will reach the US somewhere around late 2017, with maximum force being reached by the end of 2018.
When this radioactive cloud hits the coast, it’s expected to scatter and spread in all directions, with smaller portions of it returning to East Asia somewhere around 2021 to 2026. However, during this entire time frame, the area with the greatest concentration of radioactivity will remain along the West Coast of the United States with one model showing that this radiation should hit a little north of Seattle, then continue on down the coast towards Oregon and California.
Now of course, even the researchers admitted that computer models have their limitations, such as an inability to take into account ocean ecology, which can change the flow of this cloud, or atmospheric fallout, which might increase the potency of certain radioactive materials. Worse still, the federal government does not test ocean water for radiation, which means we will need to rely on private organizations. Some scientists are taking sampling into their own hands. One marine biologist from California State Long Beach has teamed up with other organizations to form Kelp Watch 2014. They hope to use crowd-source funds, along with multiple volunterrs, to collect samples of ocean water from all areas along the Pacific ocean coast, and then have these samples analyzed.
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